Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
TecnologiaScienza3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIBM 26.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 25, 08:58 UTC1 gen 30, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota IBM al 27% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.