Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 14:18 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeIBM 26.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
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6
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multiple choice
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Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 25, 08:58 UTC1 gen 30, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegole
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
