Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
One-OffPoliticaElezioneGeopoliticaRussia / Ucraina2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95.5%
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binary
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Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
20 ago 23, 18:26 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:
- 1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.
- 2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.
- 3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.
