Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
PoliticaOne-OffRussia / UcrainaGeopolitica2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 84%
Previsori
111
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto17 lug 23, 13:03 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Manifold MarketsAfter the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRussia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026
Manifold MarketsRegole
Some possible triggers for NO:
- He resigns or otherwise loses the presidency before the war ends
- He dies before the war ends
- He is ousted from the presidency as a condition of the war ending (even if he is given a small transition period of less than a year)
- Russia ceases to exist as a nation
- He changes position or title to something other than "President"
