Will "Physics of RL: Toy scaling laws for the emerg..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnologia1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.3%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 26, 03:03 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Physics of RL: Toy scaling laws for the emergence of reward-seeking is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
