Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 86.9%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 26, 03:14 UTC16 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES if, between market creation and November 15, 2026 11:59 PM Pacific, OpenAI makes a new language model available to the public in ChatGPT, the OpenAI API, or Codex.
- "New" means a model name or version that was not publicly available before this market opened (October 15, 2026).
- For example, a GPT-6.2 model, a new mini/nano or Codex variant with its own name, a new open-weight model, or a successor to Astra.
- Any text or coding model with a new name, including mini, nano, Pro and Codex variants.
- A public preview or a paid-tier-only release, as long as ordinary paying users or API customers can use it.
- New open-weight language models that OpenAI releases publicly.
