Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
RegolamentazioneIAOne-OffTecnologiaPolitica commercialeOperazioni societariePolitica USA2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 19:43 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold Markets1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
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FutuurWill Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI will be considered to have gone public in 2026 if it completes an initial public offering (IPO) and begins trading on a public stock exchange at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes any IPO filing, pricing, and first day of trading occurring in 2026.
- The resolution will be verified through major financial news sources (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, WSJ) and official SEC filings if the IPO occurs in the United States.
- OpenAI completed its recapitalization process to go from a non-profit to a for-profit in October 2025.
- According to a Reuters report from November, OpenAI was planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026.
