Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.9%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 26, 14:05 UTC20 ott 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go bankrupt following a major AI market crash before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":