Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 93.1%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 22, 07:11 UTC31 dic 29, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: Most seats
SmarketsWill there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Scotland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Scotland leave the UK before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 809,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030??
- Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.