Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 63.9%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto20 apr 22, 23:11 UTC28 apr 27, 06:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse?
Manifold Markets🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8K €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)?
- Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98) dovrebbe risolversi il 28 aprile 2027.