Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 57.8%
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4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
22 giu 24, 05:12 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release before Spider-Man: Beyond the spider-verse?
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketWill Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Noam is still alive at the time this movie releases in the USA, either on streaming or in theaters, whichever comes first.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Noam is still alive at the time this movie releases in the USA, either on streaming or in theaters, whichever comes first.