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Metodologia
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Obsoleto13 set 22, 21:02 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
KalshiWill Tennessee regulate data center water use?
KalshiWill there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
Manifold MarketsRegole
NASA's Artemis lunar exploration program has several goals to achieve while the astronauts are on the Moon during the Artemis 3 mission.
- One of them is to find and use water, needed for long-term explorations.
- Scientists have predicted in the 1960s that there would be water on the Moon's poles, probably as ice.
- India's first lunar mission, in 2008, helped confirm that there is indeed water on the moon, like ice.
- The challenge now is to find this water and make it usable, as water is a heavy thing to bring on space missions, and having it on-site would make missions easier and cheaper.
- If, during the Artemis 3 mission, astronauts manage to find and to use lunar water this question will be resolved as "yes".
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon??
- Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: NASA's Artemis lunar exploration program has several goals to achieve while the astronauts are on the Moon during the Artemis 3 mission.