Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
Previsori
71
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto4 feb 26, 17:34 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketMitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027.
- Resolves NO if he doesn't.
- Will resolve based on credible news sources, of course.
- Must be confirmed.
- Context: McConnell is currently hospitalized due to "flu-like symptoms" (Source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-mitch-mcconnell-hospitalized-after-experiencing-flu-symptoms/story?id=129834622).
- I will update this section when more information comes out.