Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
25.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS Politics5m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 54%-0.3%
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
43K €
Liquidità
42,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.8%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
-14.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
17 ott 25, 21:263 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes54%
Riferimento CoinRithm33%· 2 piattaforme· ±21 pt
SìNoMANIFOLD MARKETS
SìNo
KALSHI
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
6m
70%
30%
Previsione della comunità118 previsoriTipo: binary
Volume totale9,7K €
Volume 24h155,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
7.0%3m
-7.0%33%
67%
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale378,8K €
Volume 24h65,6K €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$49.1k2 lug7g di dati8 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.