Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88.1%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ago 26, 00:05 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsOn which days will Mitch McConnell be alive
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive to see GTA6?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
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- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026??
- Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.