Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90.9%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto29 gen 24, 15:53 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
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PolymarketRegole
Markus Söder is Minister-President of Bavaria and leader of the Christian Social Union (CSU), a party primarily active in Bavaria and the sister party to the large Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
- Together, these parties form a parliamentary group in the Bundestag known as the Union.
- While the Chancellor candidate for this group has predominantly been from the CDU, which operates across Germany except in Bavaria, there is historical precedent for a CSU member to be nominated.
- Notably, Franz Josef Strauss from the CSU was the Chancellor candidate in 1980.
- Söder’s personal ambitions became particularly evident during the leadership contest within the Union in 2021.
- Söder showed a keen interest in being the Chancellor candidate for the 2021 federal elections.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor??
- Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Markus Söder is Minister-President of Bavaria and leader of the Christian Social Union (CSU), a party primarily active in Bavaria and the sister party to the large Christian Democratic Union (CDU).