Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.

Come viene liquidato Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt92%
• November 30,+31.0pt90%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

306K €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+1.0pt55.1%
• Google36.7%
• OpenAI-0.7pt5.1%

+12 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.7pt89.7%
• Anthropic+0.3pt10.3%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 altri esiti

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+64.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.3pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt17.6%

+7 altri esiti

• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?