Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 72.6%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto2 ago 26, 19:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will OpenAI or Google have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- As judged by Artificial Analysis scores and maybe some combination of other popular meta-benchmarks (ECI, etc.) if there is a tie.
- Resolves YES if the first company is ranked higher and resolves NO if the second company is ranked higher.