Previsione della comunità attuale
No 96.3%
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34
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 23, 13:18 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?
Manifold MarketsWill we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
Biosignitures indictive of life have recently been detected on the water-world exoplanet K2-18b.
- By the end of 2026, will the general scientific consensus be that this planet does indeed harbor alien life?
- https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iC95VzD7ALs