Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.5%
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15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 50 minuti fa
In ritardo29 giu 26, 20:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill "Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 117,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 797,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 673,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Volume totale
- 16,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 94,9 €
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will jesus respawn before 2027?????
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will jesus respawn before 2027?????
- Will jesus respawn before 2027???? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.