Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.4%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mar 24, 05:11 UTC1 gen 46, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsOn May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time worldwide be a James Cameron movie?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurRegole
See: @/strutheo/will-jeff-bezos-ever-fly-around-or
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
- See: @/strutheo/will-mark-zuckerberg-ever-orbit-or
- See: @/strutheo/will-palmer-lucky-ever-orbit-or-wal
- See: @/strutheo/will-sergey-brin-ever-orbit-or-walk
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will James Cameron ever orbit or walk on the moon??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will James Cameron ever orbit or walk on the moon??
- Will James Cameron ever orbit or walk on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2046.
- Come viene liquidato Will James Cameron ever orbit or walk on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: See: @/strutheo/will-jeff-bezos-ever-fly-around-or