Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
One-OffRussia / UcrainaCinaAmerica LatinaMedio Oriente5m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 72.7%
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto11 apr 26, 16:42 UTC31 mar 27, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Iran become a democracy in 2026?
KalshiWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Iran's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Iran's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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