Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.3%
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27
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we find a way to live forever, i.e. reverse aging and achieve biological immortality by 2046?
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KalshiRegole
This question resolves YES if, at some time in the next few millenia, I am extremely confident to be immortal: (1) won't expect to die, and (2) won't expect entropy to be an issue in 10**100 years, etc.
- Quantum immortality doesn't count.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): On the definition of "I" (identity) for resolution:
- No requirement for physical continuity or continuity of experience/psychology
- Continuity of values and memories and smoothness of self are important