Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
SportOne-OffChessHealth & MedicineScienza3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69.1%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 22, 17:55 UTC18 dic 26, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Mnemonic portraits for 19,023 human genes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWhen will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiRegole
TL;DR Evidence that "short sleeper genes" exist which accelerate repair processes that take place during sleep.
- This allows some individuals to not require as much sleep to be healthy.
- John Boyle who did the writeup gives "at least 50% that the genes work as advertised".
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves yes if "short sleeper genes" work as claimed in the article once proven by further studies and trials.
- Tentative resolution date is EOY 2026.
Mercati aperti
SportsKALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Alexander Zverev+17.0pt44%
- Ben Shelton+28.0pt37%
- Frances Tiafoe+5.0pt9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 26,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal13.2%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R14.2%
- Buffalo6.7%
- Seattle6.7%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 74,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHINew England vs Seattle
- Seattle-1.0pt61.4%
- New England+2.0pt38.6%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- Game 4 Winner100%
- O/U 4.5 Games100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
+37 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHIMVP Winner?
- Joe Burrow11%
- Josh Allen11%
- Lamar Jackson10%
+42 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 12,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Kulambayeva vs Yaneva
- Napoli vs Arsenal
- New England vs Seattle: Spread
- Pro Baseball Champion
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses??
- Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: TL;DR Evidence that "short sleeper genes" exist which accelerate repair processes that take place during sleep.