Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 68.8%
Previsori
240
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 ott 24, 04:06 UTC2 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnother Elon baby by December 31?
PolymarketWill Samuel rank at least 18th on the 2027 U.S. baby name list? (Samuel is ranked 18th on the list released in 2026.)
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegole
A baby at any stage of production counts, 'being pregnant' at the end of 2027 will resolve a yes.
- If I become pregnant and then become unpregnant without producing a baby before the end of 2027, this will not count as a yes.
- I have no serious babydaddy prospects right now.
- I do definitely want a kid in general.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6447.1%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.4%
- <40-4.5pt14.7%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 31,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 18,4K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume totale
- 8,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-3.0pt8%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 971,7 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume totale
- 14K €
- Volume 24h
- 529,3 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 515,8 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,8 €
- Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I have a baby by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I have a baby by the end of 2027??
- Will I have a baby by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will I have a baby by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A baby at any stage of production counts, 'being pregnant' at the end of 2027 will resolve a yes.