PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 86%
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
62,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 19.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+9.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
30 giu 26, 17:26 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Manifold MarketsMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
- Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
Society & CultureKALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,2K €
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 10,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6K €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 15,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 431,2 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+0.5pt82.2%
- Yes-0.5pt17.8%
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 234,7 €
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volume totale
- 189,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 189,7 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+3.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 50,9K €
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Another Elon baby by December 31??
- Polymarket quota No al 86% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Another Elon baby by December 31??
- Another Elon baby by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Another Elon baby by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.