Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 18:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the website located at https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ is accessible and returns a standard HTTP 200 OK status code on December 31, 2026.
- If the website is inaccessible, redirects to a different domain, or returns an error status code (e.g., 404, 500) on that date, the market resolves to NO.
- This market concerns the continued operation of the specific web domain clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools.
- As of April 2026, little public information is available regarding the long-term hosting or organizational status of this specific URL.
- Traders should consider the typical volatility of experimental or niche web projects and the potential for domain expiration or service discontinuation over the remainder of the 2026 calendar year.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026??
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria