Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.9%
Previsori
49
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto19 ott 22, 01:07 UTC1 gen 33, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search
KalshiWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.
- Market share as of Oct 2022:
- [image]I am increasingly surprised by AI advances that I think Google's moat could be under attack soon, either by startups or by Apple.
- The pace of copycats to breakthrough models like AlphaFold, GPT-3 and Dalle-2 makes me think people are overestimating how defensible is artificial inteligence breakthroughs.
- Creator policy: I won't bet.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032??
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.