Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 84.5% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030??

Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.

Come viene liquidato Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Can be an organisation.

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POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+0.5pt77.2%
• No-0.5pt22.8%

Volume totale

1,1 Mln €

Volume 24h

103,5K €

KALSHI

PPI MoM in October

• Above 0.4%+60.0pt48.5%
• Above 0.3%49.5%
• Above 0.2%-9.0pt47%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt79.8%
• 1 (25 bps)-0.5pt20.2%
• 3 (75 bps)-3.0pt0%

+3 altri esiti

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt94%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%+3.0pt

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+4.0pt79%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-1.0pt20%
• Other-0.9pt1%

+6 altri esiti

KALSHI

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

• Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%11%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%9.5%

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