Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026?
Politica USAOne-OffIAGeopoliticaMedio OrienteAmerica LatinaPolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.1%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 mar 26, 02:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill the US Senate's Filibuster rule be in place as-is on February 20th, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMexico Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover
KalshiWill the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
FutuurCredible evidence of pre-arranged local support for Venezuela regime change (news media 2026)
Manifold MarketsWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On February the 28th, two things happened: Trump declared the start of strikes on Iran.
- And Open AI announced a contract with the DOW, replacing Anthropic.
- In my view, the combination makes 2/28/26 "the biggest news day of 2026", with the January 3rd capture of Maduro being a close second.
- I will personally judge this based on the significance of the event(s) in question.
- Most events occur over a number of days; but in order to resolve NO, candidate events must have a particular date of occurrence reported on in the major news media.
- As events occur, betters are encouraged to convince me of their significance.
