Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffTecnologiaIASociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.6%
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem pretty legible is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,000 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 200-219+6.0pt25.5%
- 180-199+4.0pt22.6%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.8%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above98%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 974,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+13.0pt56%
- 75° or below+15.0pt33%
- 78° to 79°-22.0pt5.5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIETH price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,360 or above99%
- $2,240 or above99%
- $2,280 or above98%
+37 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 165,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 165,9K €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+1.2pt10.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.4pt9.9%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.