Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.1%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto12 apr 26, 20:55 UTC7 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExEric Swalwell charged by September 30?
PolymarketWill Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?
Manifold MarketsEric Swalwell arrested by September 30?
PolymarketEric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is physically incarcerated in a jail, prison, or other correctional facility on Election Day (November 7) 2028.
- The market resolves to "No" if he is not incarcerated on that date.
- Resolution will be based on reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) confirming his custodial status on that day.
- If his status is unclear or if he is under house arrest, electronic monitoring, or probation without being held in a correctional facility, the market will resolve to "No.”
Mercati aperti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028??
- Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria