Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500?
One-OffScacchiAzioniOperazioni societarieSportBusiness e aziende3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo15 apr 25, 12:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Twitter beat Tumblr at "97% devaluation speedrun"
Manifold MarketsWill Elon purchase Ryanair?
KalshiWill Apple purchase a controlling share of Tesla by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold Markets1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if before 2030 (in the next ~5 years) Elon Musk:
- Sells Twitter (X)
- The sale price beats what he would've made investing his initial investment into the S&P 500, not including additional (infl. adj.) cash/assets that Elon may have infused into the company during his ownership.
- The market will resolve N/A if Elon does not sell X, and "No" if the sale price does not beat the S&P500.
- ('Sale price' could also be market cap after IPO).
