1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
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Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 13:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 50.2%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ago 26, 04:41 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Anthropic's market capitalization 30 calendar days after its first day of public trading is higher than its launch market capitalization (after the first day).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Launch market capitalization is defined as the valuation calculated using the method below, after the first trading day has closed.
- For example, the SpaceX IPO was at 1.77 trillion USD, but they had reached a valuation of 2.1 trillion USD after the first trading day.