Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.2%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mar 26, 19:03 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Apple purchase a controlling share of Tesla by 2028?
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KalshiWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
Stated in ROTTEN
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Jack Harlow purchases a cottage (a small residential property, typically in a rural or scenic location) at any point during 2027.
- Resolution will be based on public real estate records, verified news reports, or official statements from Jack Harlow or his representatives confirming the purchase.
- The property must be titled in his name or a trust/entity controlled by him.
- The market resolves NO if no such purchase occurs by December 31, 2027.
Mercati aperti
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,8K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 21,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 altri esiti
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027??
- Will Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Stated in ROTTEN