Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.3%
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21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
28 mar 24, 08:03 UTC29 mar 61, 03:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a day in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
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KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegole
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Elon Musk spends 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Elon Musk” is only Elon Reeve Musk, former chairman of Tesla, born on June 28, 1971.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out (this market) @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute