Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.3%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ago 23, 23:32 UTC28 giu 71, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill I live to be 200 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill I live to be at least 200 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill EITHER of Jose Luis Ricon's parents live to be over 96 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Elon Musk reaches the age of 100.
- Resolves NO immediately if he dies aged 99 or younger.