Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.4%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto12 mag 26, 19:32 UTC1 gen 28, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketsbefore 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona?
Manifold MarketsWill 5 or more people comment here that they know how to speak Toki Pona?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.
- A public beta or public preview counts if ordinary users can access the course without a private invite.
- A waitlist, incubator placeholder, job listing, blog post, social-media announcement, forum discussion, or third-party/non-Duolingo Toki Pona course does not count unless the Duolingo course itself becomes publicly accessible.
- A course under a translated or alternate title counts if Duolingo clearly presents it as Toki Pona.
- Resolution sources: Duolingo course directory/app, official Duolingo blog/social posts, and reliable coverage that points to an actual public course.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language; this market was created for soweliSon's conlang market bounty.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 622,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 604,7K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 411,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.