Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.4%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 15:31 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill 5 or more people comment here that they know how to speak Toki Pona?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035.
- For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body.
- A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records.
- If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001.
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
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+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
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- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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+39 altri esiti
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2034.
- Come viene liquidato before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria