Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mar 25, 01:29 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the USD stop being the world's reserve currency by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Donald Trump Jr. win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketRegole
This question seeks to predict if Donald Trump will continue being US president until 01 Jan 2029 and stop being US president before 31 Dec 2029.
- If he stops being a president before 2029 the question resolves NO.
- If he wins the election again or there is no election in 2029 and he remains a president, the question resolves NO.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
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+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029??
- Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question seeks to predict if Donald Trump will continue being US president until 01 Jan 2029 and stop being US president before 31 Dec 2029.