Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the USD stop being the world's reserve currency by 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 67.9% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will the USD stop being the world's reserve currency by 2030??

Will the USD stop being the world's reserve currency by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves true if any of the following conditions is met in any 12 month period before 2030/1/1.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 67.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 11 ore fa

Obsoleto

30 mar 23, 12:21 UTC31 dic 29, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves true if any of the following conditions is met in any 12 month period before 2030/1/1.

The USD accounts for less than 40% of all global foreign exchange reserves held by central banks.
The USD is used in less than 60% of all international trade and financial transactions, including commodities, debt obligations, and investments.
The USD is pegged or linked to no other currencies or to currencies that are legal tender in countries accounting for less than 5% of the world population at the time.
The currencies can be linked directly or indirectly, through exchange rate regimes or currency boards.
Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Condition 1 (USD percentage of global foreign exchange reserves): Gold may be included in the denominator when calculating the USD's share.