Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.7%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
6 set 26, 09:02 UTC1 ott 26, 04:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
KalshiWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.
- If no such construction occurs before October 1 ET, this market will resolve "no".
- For the purposes of this market, construction is defined as any changes to the site of the planned arch that are done for the purpose of actually constructing the arch (merely setting up construction equipment or similar preparations will not count).
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
- Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.