KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 67%+7.0pt
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
344,1 €
Liquidità
3,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
22 mag 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
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PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026??
- Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.