Previsione della comunità attuale
2030 33.8%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 24, 17:29 UTC30 dic 33, 19:30 UTC
Trend
0.5%
0.4%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Russia land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any European countries land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China land someone on the moon on this year??
- Manifold Markets quota 2030 al 34% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China land someone on the moon on this year??
- Will China land someone on the moon on this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will China land someone on the moon on this year??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.