Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
IA
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Russia 33.3%In testa tra 4 esiti
Russia 33.3%Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto8 lug 24, 16:56 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
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Manifold MarketsWill Iran become a democracy in 2026?
KalshiSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketRegole
As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.