Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.1%
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66
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
6 dic 25, 11:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats
- ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.
- Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.
