Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffMedio Oriente2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 87.4%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
21 gen 26, 18:19 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Tensions have been increasing between Ethiopia and Eritrea as Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has led a PR push about the country's need for consistent access to a seaport.
- Ethiopia is the world's largest landlocked country.
- Ethiopia and Eritrea engaged in a bloody border war from 1999-2001, but Abiy signed a peace deal in 2018 to restore ties, for which he won the Nobel Peace Prize.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Armed conflict is defined as sustained military hostilities involving direct combat operations between the two nations' armed forces, resulting in casualties.
