Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (95.1%)
Risolto: 24 ott 2026, 03:23
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 18:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes95.1%
No4.900000000000006%
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
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PolymarketRegole
Minor upgrades of existing products do not count as novel.
- Bold innovative things that haven't been done before do count as novel.
- Things that have been done before by other companies but never by Apple may count as novel, if they're not pathetic and dumb.
- Some examples:
- An upgraded Macbook that gets 30% better performance is not novel.
- A 2-in-1 Macbook that folds back to turn into an iPad is novel.