Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto26 dic 23, 08:26 UTC31 dic 27, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release an iPhone with >5x optical zoom?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a first-party home camera before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Start date of this market contract: December 25, 2023
- End date of this market contract: December 31, 2027
- Resolves YES if Apple releases a phone (whether it's called iphone or something else - iphone has been used in the title since that is the only line of phones that Apple sells at the present time) without a camera bump. it does not count if the camera bump is noticeably smaller.
- It should be a "more or less flat back".
- It goes against the spirit of the market if Apple releases a phone without a camera, and thus without a camera bump.
- So, that will not count.