Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 83.4%
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17
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto23 apr 23, 05:50 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Based on data from the Lunar Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite (LCROSS), it is widely believed that there is frozen water trapped in Permanently Shadowed Regions (PSR) in craters near the lunar poles.
- If such water exists, it could prove an extremely useful resource for any future lunar missions, primarily because it could be used to manufacture fuel in-situ, reducing the amount of weight spacecraft must bring to the lunar surface if they hope to lift off again.
- By 2030, will any water have been mined on the Moon? Water collected purely for scientific purposes does not count, it must be collected with the intention to use as a resource.
- A demonstration system to illustrate the feasibility of collecting lunar water as a resource is sufficient, even if the water collected is not actually used.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030??
- Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Based on data from the Lunar Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite (LCROSS), it is widely believed that there is frozen water trapped in Permanently Shadowed Regions (PSR) in craters near the lunar poles.