Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 25 lug 2026, 09:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attuale2024-Q3 0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto7 lug 24, 6:3930 set 26, 22:59
Trend
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
2026-Q458%
Trend del volume
$1010 lug11g di dati25 lug
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FORECASTEXAttivi in questi argomenti
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Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.